Madhya Pradesh Election 2023 Exit Poll: Decoding Victory

Explore anticipated outcomes of Madhya Pradesh Election 2023 Exit Poll. Madhya Pradesh Election result will announce on December 3, 2023. Stay informed!

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About Madhya Pradesh Election 2023 Exit Poll

Everyone is excited about  Madhya Pradesh Election 2023 Exit Poll in India. Madhya Pradesh, the heart of India, completed high-stakes assembly election on November 17, 2023. The ruling BJP, led by four-time Chief Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan, is facing a tough challenge from the Congress, which is hoping to make a comeback after 15 years of being out of power. The election is also witnessing the entry of the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP), which is trying to make inroads in the Hindi heartland state.

Madhya Pradesh Election 2023 Exit Poll
Madhya Pradesh Election 2023 Exit Poll

The election campaign has been marked by a fierce competition among parties to offer freebies and guarantees, a scramble for tribal, OBC, women votes with a touch of Hindutva politics. The BJP is banking on Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s popularity and its development agenda, while the Congress is highlighting the issues of unemployment, farmers’ distress, corruption and law and order. The AAP is projecting itself as an alternative to the two main parties and promising to provide free electricity, water and education.

But what do the voters of Madhya Pradesh think? Which party has an edge over the others? Which issues are influencing their choice? To answer these questions, several polling agencies have conducted exit polls to gauge the voter sentiment and to indicate what the final results could be like on December 3, 2023. Here is a summary of the findings and projections of the different exit polls conducted for the Madhya Pradesh Vidhan Sabha elections 2023.

Madhya Pradesh Election 2023 Exit Poll Agency Results

ABP-CVoter Exit Poll

  • The ABP-CVoter exit poll, conducted by ABP News along with CVoter, suggests a neck-and-neck fight between the Congress and the BJP in Madhya Pradesh.
  • The exit poll figures show that out of 230 assembly seats in Madhya Pradesh, a maximum of 113 to 125 seats can go to the Congress.
  • The BJP is likely to get 104 to 116 seats.
  • The BSP may get 2 seats and others may get 1 to 3 seats.
  • As per the data, the ruling BJP is 0.1 per cent ahead of the Congress in terms of vote share.
  • Congress is projected to get a 44.6 per cent vote share and BJP 44.7 per cent.
  • BSP may get 2.1 per cent votes.
  • At the same time, 8.6 per cent of the votes can go to others.

ETG Research Exit Poll

  • The ETG Research exit poll, conducted by ETG Research, predicts a close contest between the Congress and the BJP in Madhya Pradesh.
  • The exit poll results show that the Congress may get 118 to 128 seats, while the BJP may get 102 to 110 seats.
  • The BSP and others may get 0 to 2 seats each.
  • The vote share projections show that the Congress may get 45.1 per cent of the votes, while the BJP may get 43.9 per cent.
  • The BSP may get 1.8 per cent and others may get 9.2 per cent.

News18 Opinion Poll

  • The News18 opinion poll, conducted by News18 along with CVoter, indicates a change of regime in Madhya Pradesh.
  • The opinion poll numbers show that the Congress may get 122 seats, while the BJP may get 108 seats.
  • The BSP may get 0 seats and others may get 0 seats.
  • The vote share projections show that the Congress may get 45.3 per cent of the votes, while the BJP may get 43.8 per cent. The BSP may get 1.7 per cent and others may get 9.2 per cent.
AgencyDateBJPINCBSPOthers
ETG ResearchNovember 2023107-115112-1231-30
ChanakyaNovember 2023151 (+/- 12)74 (+/- 12)05
ABP-CVoterOctober 2023104-116113-12501-3

 

Madhya Pradesh Election 2023
Madhya Pradesh Election 2023

Conclusion

The exit polls and opinion polls suggest that the Madhya Pradesh Election 2023 Exit Poll is going to be a close and unpredictable contest between the Congress and the BJP. Both parties are expected to get around 110 seats each, with a slight edge for the Congress. The vote share difference between the two parties is also very narrow, with the BJP slightly ahead of the Congress.

The BSP and others are likely to play a marginal role in the outcome of the election. However, these are only projections based on surveys and not the actual results.

The final verdict will be known only on December 3, 2023, when the votes will be counted and the results will be declared. Till then, stay tuned for more updates on the Madhya Pradesh Election 2023 Exit Poll.

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